Gareji vs FC Rustavi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
1º
65
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SIO
2 - 2
GAR
30%
25%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GAR
5 - 1
SFC
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 2
GAR
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 2
WIT
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
GAR
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
FC Rustavi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
MET
0 - 1
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 5
MET
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
ADU
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MET
1 - 0
SIO
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
MET
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |