Gareji vs Aragvi Dusheti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
9º
1º
49
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAB
5 - 2
GAR
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GAR
2 - 2
SFC
69%
16%
14%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 3
GAR
29%
21%
50%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 3
GAR
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 1
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
ADU
64%
19%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GOR
2 - 0
ADU
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ADU
4 - 1
GUR
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
ADU
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
ADU
0 - 0
MES
60%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |