Gárdony vs FC Dunafoldvar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
29.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
15º
13º
7
15º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 23 |
12º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
77.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gárdony
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
BVO
0 - 0
GVC
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SZE
2 - 0
GVC
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GVC
5 - 1
MTK
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IVA
5 - 1
GVC
91%
7%
2%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GVC
2 - 2
NAG
21%
22%
58%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
FC Dunafoldvar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
MTK
32%
21%
47%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
IVA
7 - 0
FCD
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 1
NAG
22%
22%
56%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KAP
4 - 0
FCD
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCD
1 - 2
PTE
60%
19%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |