Garde Nationale vs Inter Nouakchott analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
8º
28
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TEV
1 - 0
GDN
46%
26%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GDN
2 - 1
KSA
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SNI
1 - 1
GDN
33%
28%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2022 |
GDN
1 - 0
CON
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
KFC
3 - 4
GDN
46%
27%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Inter Nouakchott
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
IDN
0 - 0
SNI
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
IDN
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
IDN
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
IDN
1 - 2
CHE
37%
22%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
POL
0 - 3
IDN
50%
23%
26%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |