Garde Nationale vs Gendrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
9º
8º
26
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ZEM
1 - 0
GDN
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
GDN
1 - 0
IDN
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TEV
1 - 0
GDN
46%
26%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
GDN
2 - 1
KSA
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SNI
1 - 1
GDN
33%
28%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gendrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GEN
2 - 0
SNI
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CON
1 - 0
GEN
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
0 - 0
KFC
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 2
GEN
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
POL
0 - 1
GEN
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |