Garde Nationale vs AC Douane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SNI
1 - 0
GDN
41%
28%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GDN
0 - 1
KSA
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
KFC
2 - 3
GDN
51%
26%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 1
GDN
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
GDN
0 - 0
ACD
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AC Douane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ACD
1 - 1
AST
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
NOU
1 - 3
ACD
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 1
KFC
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
GDN
0 - 0
ACD
32%
23%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IDN
3 - 3
ACD
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |