Garde-Cotes vs Gendarmerie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
69.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+301%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Garde-Cotes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
HOP
1 - 0
GCT
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
CDQ
1 - 2
GCT
16%
18%
67%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
GCT
1 - 2
GUE
10%
15%
76%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
GCT
0 - 1
ASA
8%
12%
80%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
GCT
3 - 0
ACS
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | +6 |
Matches
Gendarmerie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
CDQ
1 - 8
GEN
10%
17%
73%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 1
DIK
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
AS7
6 - 2
GEN
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
0 - 1
POR
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 2
HOP
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |