Gap vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
LYO
1 - 2
GAP
27%
27%
47%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GAP
1 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GFO
2 - 3
GAP
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
GAP
2 - 0
LEP
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
JUR
2 - 1
GAP
40%
28%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
SPO
4 - 1
BOU
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
JUR
2 - 1
SPO
45%
29%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLY
37%
28%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SOC
1 - 0
SPO
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
SPO
50%
26%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |