Gap vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
33%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
OLY
4 - 1
GAP
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
GAP
1 - 0
LYO
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
FRE
5 - 1
GAP
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
GAP
1 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
GAP
2 - 1
OLY
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
HYE
40%
29%
31%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SAI
0 - 2
SPO
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
MON
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CAB
1 - 1
SPO
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2009 |
JUR
2 - 1
SPO
37%
28%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |