Gap vs Pacy Vallée-d.Eure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ROD
1 - 2
GAP
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
UJA
0 - 0
GAP
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
ORL
4 - 0
GAP
43%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
GAP
2 - 0
LUZ
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 1
GAP
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pacy Vallée-d.Eure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
UJA
1 - 1
PAC
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
PAC
3 - 4
FCG
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 3
FRE
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ASB
3 - 2
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
PFC
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |