Gap vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
TOU
3 - 3
GAP
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
GAP
2 - 1
LEP
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ARL
1 - 0
GAP
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
GAP
4 - 1
AGD
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
CAB
0 - 0
GAP
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 0
ALB
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
FRE
1 - 0
NIC
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 0
GAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
MAR
72%
18%
11%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |