Gap vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
GAZ
2 - 2
GAP
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
GAP
0 - 1
CAS
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
GAP
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
GAP
3 - 0
SAI
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FRE
2 - 2
GAP
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 3
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
JUR
2 - 1
NIC
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 2
MON
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
NIC
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
NIC
1 - 0
ETG
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |