Gap vs Monaco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ETG
0 - 1
GAP
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
GAP
3 - 2
SAE
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
LEP
1 - 1
GAP
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
GAP
2 - 1
MAR
53%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 0
GAP
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Monaco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
MON
2 - 0
MON
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
JUR
2 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
MON
2 - 0
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
SOC
0 - 0
MON
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
MON
1 - 2
FRE
56%
23%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |