Gap vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GAZ
2 - 0
GAP
41%
27%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
GAP
1 - 0
SAE
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GAP
0 - 0
AND
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 0
GAP
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
JUR
1 - 2
GAP
24%
27%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
HYE
36%
30%
35%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 0
AND
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
SAI
1 - 3
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |