Gap vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 2
GAP
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
GAP
1 - 0
GFO
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
LEP
2 - 0
GAP
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GAP
3 - 0
MON
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
AND
0 - 0
GAP
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 1
BOU
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GAZ
0 - 0
LYO
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
LYO
2 - 3
OLY
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 0
LYO
48%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
SPO
37%
28%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |