Gap vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAE
7 - 1
GAP
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
GAP
2 - 1
ARL
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
AGD
2 - 1
GAP
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
GAP
2 - 0
CAB
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
OLY
1 - 1
GAP
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
ETG
1 - 1
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MON
5 - 1
ETG
18%
26%
57%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ETG
1 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ETG
0 - 0
FRE
73%
18%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
SAE
0 - 1
ETG
20%
26%
55%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |