Gap vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GAZ
1 - 0
GAP
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GAP
4 - 3
VIL
37%
25%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCM
2 - 1
GAP
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GAP
0 - 0
AGD
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
GAP
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 0
BOU
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
JUR
1 - 0
CAB
36%
27%
38%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CAB
0 - 2
OLY
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SOC
0 - 1
CAB
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAB
2 - 2
SPO
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |