Gambia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
CIV
1 - 0
GAM
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
GAM
3 - 3
KEN
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
GAB
0 - 0
GAM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
GAM
0 - 0
GAB
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
GAM
70%
21%
10%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
5 - 1
MOZ
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
BOT
1 - 3
ALG
11%
22%
68%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
LBR
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
EQG
0 - 0
ALG
14%
23%
62%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
21%
68%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |