Gambia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GAM
1 - 1
CTA
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
MLI
4 - 0
GAM
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
GAM
0 - 0
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
CTA
1 - 2
GAM
7%
14%
79%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | -2 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
ALG
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
ALG
2 - 3
CPV
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
KSA
2 - 0
ALG
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
IRN
2 - 1
ALG
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ALG
4 - 1
TAN
79%
14%
6%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |