Gambia vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1997 |
GAM
3 - 1
CPV
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
GAM
1 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
GAM
1 - 2
SEN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1995 |
GAM
3 - 0
CPV
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1995 |
MLI
1 - 0
GAM
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1997 |
MUS
1 - 1
SEN
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
MLI
3 - 0
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1997 |
MLI
3 - 1
MUS
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1997 |
SYR
1 - 0
MUS
80%
14%
6%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1996 |
MUS
0 - 0
MAD
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |