SD Gama vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
16º
14º
43
5º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 2
GAM
37%
25%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 0
CAR
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAY
5 - 0
GAM
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
GAM
2 - 0
LRI
74%
16%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SOL
0 - 0
GAM
48%
25%
27%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ARE
3 - 1
NAV
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
1 - 0
TEX
62%
22%
17%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESC
2 - 0
NAV
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 0
TRO
23%
24%
54%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NAV
0 - 0
TRO
24%
22%
55%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |