Gama vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 7
GAM
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GAM
0 - 2
CEA
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAM
3 - 2
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
0 - 6
GAM
27%
23%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BDF
3 - 1
GAM
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 0
FOR
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 2
LUZ
40%
25%
36%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUZ
3 - 2
CEI
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
LUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 0
BSE
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |