Gama vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
GAM
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
3 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 2
GAM
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 1
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
BOT
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
MOG
1 - 3
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAO
16%
23%
62%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
BOT
0 - 0
ITU
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |