Gama vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 0
GAM
32%
24%
43%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CEI
3 - 2
GAM
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GAM
2 - 1
BSE
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
GAM
3 - 1
LEG
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 1
BRA
40%
24%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
BDF
2 - 3
PAR
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BSE
4 - 2
BDF
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BDF
0 - 2
LEG
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DOM
3 - 1
BDF
61%
20%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2008 |
BRA
4 - 1
BDF
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | -1 |