Gallipoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallipoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
TOR
2 - 0
GAL
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
3 - 2
SAL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
GAL
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 2
CTT
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
FRO
2 - 0
GAL
56%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 0
TRI
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 0
TOR
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
REG
1 - 0
CRO
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CRO
4 - 2
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
0 - 1
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |