Gallaratese vs Chiavari Caperana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallaratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
GAL
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
LAV
0 - 0
GAL
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 2
DER
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
VIG
1 - 1
GAL
37%
24%
38%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
GAL
2 - 0
ALB
45%
25%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 3
ACA
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 2
VIG
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
AST
3 - 1
CHI
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
1 - 2
ACQ
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ASC
3 - 0
CHI
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |