Gales U21 vs Noruega U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
WAL
1 - 1
SWE
19%
22%
60%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
WAL
1 - 0
AND
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
SVK
4 - 2
WAL
70%
18%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
CZE
17%
20%
63%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ISL
1 - 2
WAL
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Noruega U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
NOR
2 - 0
CZE
36%
23%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
FIN
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
FIN
5 - 1
NOR
20%
21%
58%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
5 - 1
TUR
52%
23%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
IRL
1 - 1
NOR
36%
24%
40%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |