Gales U21 vs Lituania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MDA
0 - 0
WAL
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
SMR
1 - 0
WAL
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 5
FIN
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
MDA
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 0
ISL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lituania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 1
FIN
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SMR
0 - 1
LTU
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
FIN
2 - 2
LTU
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 1
SMR
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
LTU
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |