Gales U21 vs Islandia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
CZE
5 - 0
WAL
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 1
ARM
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 0
AND
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 0
AND
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 0
WAL
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Islandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
BEL
5 - 0
ISL
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 1
ISL
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
ISL
1 - 2
AZE
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 0
ISL
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
5 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |