Wales U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
WAL
1 - 0
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
WAL
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HUN
0 - 1
WAL
50%
23%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2010 |
MLT
1 - 1
WAL
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2010 |
AUT
1 - 0
WAL
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
SCO
3 - 1
NIR
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
GER
3 - 0
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
NIR
4 - 0
SMR
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
SMR
0 - 3
NIR
29%
23%
48%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 2
CZE
19%
22%
58%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |