Wales U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 4
WAL
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ISR
3 - 2
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
WAL
5 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
WAL
1 - 0
CYP
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 4
WAL
48%
23%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
NIR
2 - 3
GER
14%
19%
68%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ROU
3 - 0
NIR
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
NIR
4 - 0
LIE
87%
10%
4%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 4
NIR
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |