Gales U21 vs Inglaterra U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
58.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ROU
0 - 3
WAL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 1
ROU
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BIH
1 - 2
WAL
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
MLT
0 - 4
WAL
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Inglaterra U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 0
POR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 1
SVN
81%
14%
5%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
ENG
0 - 0
POL
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2008 |
ENG
3 - 0
IRL
77%
16%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |