Wales U21 vs Hungary U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
WAL
22%
23%
56%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
WAL
1 - 0
AUT
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
WAL
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HUN
0 - 1
WAL
50%
23%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
CRO
3 - 2
HUN
69%
18%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
HUN
0 - 2
AUT
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
HUN
0 - 0
SVK
38%
25%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
SVN
1 - 0
HUN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2010 |
HUN
0 - 2
MNE
58%
22%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |