Wales U21 vs Hungary U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
WAL
5 - 1
LUX
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 0
WAL
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 22 | 36 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
ENG
2 - 2
WAL
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 3
ENG
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ROU
0 - 3
WAL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Hungary U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
LUX
0 - 1
HUN
27%
27%
47%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
HUN
3 - 0
LUX
78%
14%
8%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SRB
8 - 0
HUN
62%
21%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
HUN
5 - 0
SMR
73%
16%
10%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
CRO
3 - 1
HUN
57%
23%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |