Wales U21 vs Georgia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
BIH
1 - 0
WAL
46%
24%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 0
ROU
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 4
BIH
52%
24%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
LIE
1 - 3
WAL
8%
16%
77%
|
59 | 7 | 52 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
WAL
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
GEO
2 - 2
DEN
12%
18%
70%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
GEO
1 - 0
FRO
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
AZE
1 - 1
GEO
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
GEO
1 - 0
LTU
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
GEO
2 - 2
FIN
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |