Wales U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
MDA
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 0
ISL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
CZE
5 - 0
WAL
77%
16%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
WAL
0 - 1
ARM
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 0
AND
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
FIN
2 - 2
LTU
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
HUN
2 - 0
FIN
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 0
LTU
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |