Gales U21 vs Armenia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 0
AND
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
WAL
4 - 0
AND
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 0
WAL
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 1
CZE
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 0
MNE
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2012 |
ARM
4 - 1
AND
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 0
WAL
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
ARM
0 - 2
CZE
19%
22%
60%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
CZE
1 - 1
ARM
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
AND
0 - 1
ARM
24%
22%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |