Gales U17 vs Noruega U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRO
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUT
3 - 0
WAL
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
DEN
2 - 0
WAL
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BGR
1 - 2
WAL
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 2
SWE
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Noruega U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 1
SVN
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AUT
2 - 2
NOR
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
NOR
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 0
FRA
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
EST
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |