Galdar vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
71.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galdar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
GAL
79%
15%
6%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
FIR
52%
22%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
SPO
8 - 0
GAL
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 3
CDG
21%
22%
57%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
AGA
4 - 0
GAL
67%
19%
14%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
COS
4 - 4
SPO
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
COS
5 - 3
CDG
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
AGA
1 - 5
COS
29%
24%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
COS
2 - 1
ART
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
UCB
0 - 2
COS
48%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |