Galapagar vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+89%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
9º
33
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 5
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LRZ
1 - 0
GAL
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
URS
1 - 0
GAL
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GAL
2 - 1
MEX
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
RVB
0 - 1
LRZ
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RVB
1 - 3
URS
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MEX
1 - 0
RVB
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RVB
1 - 2
TRJ
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |