Galapagar vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+86%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
6º
15º
9º
45
3º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galapagar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CVI
0 - 1
GAL
23%
23%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 1
NAV
14%
23%
63%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TRJ
1 - 1
GAL
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 0
ALC
26%
24%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
LRZ
1 - 0
GAL
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 0
LRZ
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TRJ
3 - 2
CDM
24%
28%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 5
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 2
CDM
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 1
UPL
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |