Galáctico Pegaso vs Toscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Galáctico Pegaso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
PEG
3 - 3
CPC
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CDS
2 - 0
PEG
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
PEG
2 - 3
CIE
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
PLA
4 - 0
PEG
46%
28%
26%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -3 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
PEG
2 - 0
DBN
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
TCF
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
25%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
ARG
4 - 1
TCF
55%
26%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 2
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
SDT
2 - 0
TCF
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ALC
4 - 2
TCF
72%
19%
9%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |