Gainsborough Trinity vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
STA
4 - 4
GAI
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GAI
1 - 2
OXF
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STO
1 - 3
GAI
49%
23%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
GAI
2 - 2
GLO
50%
23%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TAM
0 - 1
GAI
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
WOR
3 - 5
COL
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
WOR
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 2
GLO
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
WOR
4 - 1
HYD
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
WOR
1 - 1
BRA
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |