Gainsborough Trinity vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1899 |
BUR
2 - 1
GAI
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1899 |
GAI
0 - 0
WAL
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1899 |
GLO
5 - 1
GAI
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1899 |
GAI
3 - 1
MAC
25%
24%
52%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1899 |
GAI
2 - 0
BAR
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1899 |
POR
3 - 1
DAR
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1899 |
LEI
1 - 1
POR
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1899 |
POR
4 - 1
LUT
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1899 |
ARS
1 - 0
POR
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1899 |
GRI
3 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |