Gainsborough Trinity vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BIS
1 - 5
GAI
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
HIN
1 - 4
GAI
25%
23%
53%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GAI
1 - 1
HIN
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BOS
2 - 1
GAI
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
GAI
5 - 0
HIN
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
TOW
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
TOW
3 - 1
VAU
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VAU
1 - 3
TOW
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
GUL
0 - 1
TOW
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TOW
6 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |