Gainsborough Trinity vs Grantham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MAT
0 - 2
GAI
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GAI
1 - 2
LAN
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GAI
2 - 1
AFC
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GAI
0 - 2
WOR
40%
24%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LEE
1 - 2
GAI
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grantham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 2
COL
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
NEF
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YAX
1 - 3
GRA
36%
24%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 0
GRA
48%
24%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 2
GRA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |