Gagra II vs Gareji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
IBE
0 - 2
GAG
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
GAG
3 - 4
LAB
62%
19%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
GAG
2 - 2
ALG
84%
11%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IVE
3 - 1
GAG
79%
14%
8%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
GAG
4 - 0
APK
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gareji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2006 |
LTB
1 - 0
GAR
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
GAR
1 - 1
AME
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CHI
1 - 0
GAR
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2006 |
GAR
1 - 1
MES
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
MEA
2 - 0
GAR
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |