Gagra vs Shukura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GAG
2 - 2
FTK
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
TSK
1 - 1
GAG
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GAG
0 - 0
WIT
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
GAG
1 - 0
DTB
11%
17%
72%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 0
GAG
39%
25%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Shukura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
SHU
0 - 2
WIT
39%
28%
34%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TEL
3 - 3
SHU
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
SHU
1 - 2
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
DBA
2 - 0
SHU
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
SHU
5 - 1
TSK
59%
22%
20%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |