Gagra vs Samegrelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BET
5 - 2
GAG
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 0
SKU
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 1
GAG
52%
23%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
2 - 1
CHK
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
GAG
1 - 2
KOL
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 1
MES
20%
22%
57%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
SAM
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
IME
15%
20%
64%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
LIA
6 - 2
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
CHI
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |