Gagra vs Kolkheti Poti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
10º
8º
41
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gagra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 3
GAG
33%
22%
46%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 2
GAG
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 5
GOR
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
GAG
0 - 0
DTB
25%
25%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SAB
1 - 1
GAG
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Kolkheti Poti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 1
DBA
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 2
GOR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
DTB
3 - 2
KOL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
2 - 6
SAB
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |